Join Us on October 16th: Introducing 3 New AI-Driven Trading Strategies! We’re excited to announce the next session in our exclusive webinar series, where we’ll be unveiling three powerful new strategies that leverage cutting-edge AI technology to help you optimize your trading performance. In our last webinar, we shared strategies that have delivered impressive results …
Preface (Reminder: Yesterday I penned Jobless Claims Fresh Highs; Manufacturing Fresh Lows.) As of today, we will have a Fed that is on the right side of the market as opposed to in opposition to it. That’s the silver lining. The Fed will cut. Today we received the non farm payrolls (NFP) report and saw what …
Lede I see an elevated risk of recession, but risk of a bad thing doesn’t mean that the bad thing will happen. I think we are unnecessarily being forced to take this risk by the Fed, but we can still escape. Let’s do this. Preface Yesterday the Federal reserve chose not to cut interest rates. …
Jobless Claims Fresh Highs; Manufacturing Fresh Lows Read More »
Ever look at a stock chart and think… “OK, now what?” Me too… We are thrilled to announce a revolutionary upgrade to our Pattern Finder product driven by generative-AI that answers that very question: Now what? This is a 1 minute video demonstration, and at second 0:27, the revolution appears. What’s New: Generative-AI in a Live …
Lede Today we received the definitive inflation index called PCE and it’s sub index called Core PCE which excludes the cost of food and energy and all numbers came in line with estimates with each month over month (MoM) and year over year (YoY) measure falling: PCE Price Inflation YoY: 2.6% vs 2.6% consensus and 2.7% prior. …
More Impetus to Cut Rates; PCE Inflation MoM Comes in at Zero Read More »
6/26/2024 Story Today I share a short form video summary of my views on inflation and the employment market as we all await the data for May PCE inflation on Friday. Video: Inflation at target, unemployment rate up, savings rate down, real disposable income growth down, GDP growth down. Transcript Ophir Gottlieb (00:00): There have been a lot of people …
Today we received retail sales data for the month of May and the number came in at 0.1% versus estimates of 0.2% and -0.2% in the prior month. The probability of a 25bps (0.25%) rate cut in Sep FOMC meeting has risen on weaker than expected retail sales, lower CPI, Core CPI, PPI, Core PPI, …
Lede Yesterday we wrote CPI Cools Faster than Estimates; Time to Cut Rates. We echo that sentiment today with yet more data. Today we received the Producer Price Index (PPI) which is also known as “Wholesaler Inflation,” as opposed to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) that we received yesterday, and much like CPI, PPI came in below estimates. • PPI …
Lede Disinflation has returned. Core CPI YoY is the lowest it has been since April 2021. Core CPI MoM is the lowest since August 2021. The Fed will deliver a decision today, we will receive a new dot plot (Fed projections for inflation, GDP, and the labor market) and Chairman Powell will hold a press …
CPI Cools Faster than Estimates; Time to Cut Rates Read More »
If you’ve been following the market from November through today, you know it’s been a rollercoaster. Navigating these highs and lows requires more than just luck—it demands a robust strategy and reliable tools. Enter TradeMachine, your ticket to consistent trading success. Seven months ago, our CEO Ophir Gottlieb introduced a portfolio of alerts for all …
TradeMachine Triumph: Unlock Market Success with 82 Wins & a 74.5% Win Rate Read More »